High Stakes

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Podcast by Paige Soya

High Stakes

Join seasoned investors and successful start-up founders as they weigh in on topics and trends currently dominating the venture capital space. Each episode brings together a founder and an investor to provoke a deepened understanding of the topic at hand. If you want to learn about how early-stage venture capital investing works, this show is for you.

Latest episodes

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17 September 2026

How VCs Actually Think About Startup Valuations? | Paige Soya, Nick Duafala & K Street Capital

What actually determines what a startup is worth?

In this episode of High Stakes, K Street Capital’s Paige Soya and Nick Duafala are joined by investment team members Joseph and Jose for a Venture Capital 101 breakdown of how VCs assess startup valuations and why it’s rarely as simple as founders might assume.

The conversation begins with the core VC perspective: valuation isn’t based solely on what a company is worth today. Investors are also considering what it could be worth at exit, how long it may take to get there, and whether the potential return aligns with the fund’s strategy and portfolio construction.

The team walks through valuations at each stage, from pre-seed and seed to Series A and growth, and explains how the criteria evolve. At the earliest stages, the focus is heavily on the founder, vision, and technology. As a company matures, product-market fit, comparable financings, revenue quality, customer diversification, margins, and scalability become increasingly important.

Paige and Nick also unpack the terms beyond the headline valuation that can materially affect a deal, including warrants, liquidation preferences, board seats, and pro rata rights. They discuss what “founder-friendly” investing means in practice, how cap tables may be restructured during challenging markets, and what investors learned from the wave of recapitalizations that followed the 2022 market downturn.

The conversation then gets granular about revenue multiples: how growth, churn, customer concentration, market size, and revenue quality can move a multiple up or down. The team closes by exploring the “founder premium” earned by proven repeat entrepreneurs, followed by a lightning round on the best advice each person has received.

In this episode:

  • How VCs assess startup valuations
  • Why fund strategy and portfolio construction influence valuation
  • What investors evaluate at the pre-seed, seed, Series A, and growth stages
  • Typical valuation ranges across funding stages
  • Why K Street generally doesn’t lead Series A rounds—and how that affects its input on valuation
  • How warrants can lower an effective valuation without changing the headline price
  • How liquidation preferences and payout waterfalls work
  • How board seats and pro rata rights factor into deal terms
  • What “founder-friendly” investing means at K Street
  • Why cap table recapitalizations became more common after the 2022 downturn
  • How investors build revenue multiples from an industry baseline
  • How growth, churn, revenue quality, and customer concentration affect a multiple
  • What qualifies as “high growth” at the seed and Series A stages
  • Why repeat entrepreneurs may command a “founder premium”
  • The best advice each team member has received

Topics: Venture Capital • Startup Valuations • Portfolio Construction • Pre-Seed Funding • Seed Funding • Series A • Growth-Stage Investing • Liquidation Preferences • Warrants • Board Seats • Pro Rata Rights • Revenue Multiples • Founder-Friendly Terms • Cap Table Recapitalizations • Customer Concentration • Founder Premium • Venture Capital 101

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39:03

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11 September 2026

What Makes a Business VC-Backable? | Paige Soya, Nick Duafala, & Jon Sherry (Alium, Ex-CB Insights)

What makes a business venture-backable?

In this episode of High Stakes, K Street Capital’s Paige Soya and Nick Duafala sit down with Jonathan Sherry, founder and CEO of Alium and former co-founder of CB Insights, for a Venture Capital 101 discussion about the business models VCs evaluate and what makes them scalable, defensible, and fundable.

The conversation covers the fundamentals of SaaS and marketplaces, what constitutes a true platform, and why founders should understand the distinction between a business model and a pricing model. Jonathan also shares how CB Insights and Alium have used subscription models, seat- and capability-based pricing, and marketplace dynamics to monetize their businesses.

The group then explores one of the biggest shifts in technology: AI and the rise of usage-based and labor-replacement models. They discuss whether AI will fundamentally change SaaS, why customers increasingly want to experiment before committing to annual contracts, and what founders should understand about consumption, utilization, pricing, and ROI.

The episode also examines what VCs look for beyond ARR, including customer concentration, ACVs, renewals, paid POCs, and evidence that a company has built a repeatable business model.

Finally, the conversation turns to liquidity in venture capital. With companies remaining private longer and fewer pursuing IPOs, the group discusses M&A, secondary markets, alternative paths to liquidity, and why exits in the $100 million to $250 million range can be compelling outcomes for early-stage investors.

In this episode:

  • What makes a business model VC-backable
  • Why SaaS remains a compelling venture business model
  • How marketplaces and platforms create defensibility
  • Why a “platform” is not necessarily a business model
  • How startups can evolve their business models as they grow
  • The emerging “service as software” and labor-replacement model
  • How AI is accelerating the shift toward usage-based pricing
  • The risks and opportunities of consumption-based models
  • Why customers increasingly want to experiment before committing
  • What paid POCs reveal about the quality of a startup’s revenue
  • Why VCs evaluate customer concentration and diversification
  • What a strong seed-stage SaaS customer portfolio can look like
  • Why founders shouldn’t confuse potential revenue with actual ARR
  • How VCs approach liquidity when companies remain private longer
  • The growing role of secondary markets
  • Why $100 million to $250 million exits can be attractive outcomes
  • Jonathan’s biggest lesson from CB Insights: never give up a market lead
  • Why founders must keep moving forward

Topics: Venture Capital • VC-Backable Business Models • SaaS • AI Startups • Usage-Based Pricing • Marketplaces • Startup Fundraising • Revenue Quality • ARR • Go-to-Market • Venture Investing • Liquidity • Secondary Markets • Founder Advice

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49:09

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20 August 2026

Learn the Lingo VCs Actually Use | Paige Soya, Nick Duafala, & K Street Capital

For years, founders and investors have used terms like “fintech,” “SaaS,” and “platform” without always having a shared definition. But as venture firms rely more heavily on data to track deals, returns, and portfolio performance, getting that language right matters more than ever.

In this episode of High Stakes, Paige Soya and Nick Duafala are joined by K Street Capital’s Joseph Whang and Jose Cifuentes for a Venture Capital 101 breakdown of how VCs classify the startups they evaluate.

Using real-world examples from Salesforce, Airbnb, Facebook, and Auth0, the team walks through the eight categories that make up K Street’s internal deal taxonomy, why consistent classification matters, and how founders can use the same framework to better understand, and communicate, their businesses.

In this episode:

  • The eight categories we use to classify startups
  • Why a company’s industry and its customer’s industry aren’t necessarily the same
  • How B2B, B2C, B2G, and dual-use define customer type
  • Why go-to-market motion—direct, enterprise, product-led, or channel—matters to investors
  • How VCs think about business and revenue models
  • The difference between product type and technology category, and why AI increasingly cuts across both
  • What separates a true platform from a suite of products or services
  • How K Street uses AI internally to keep deal data consistent and comparable

Whether you’re a founder refining your fundraising narrative or a new investor learning the language of venture capital, this episode is a practical guide to how VCs actually think about and categorize the companies they evaluate.

Topics: Venture Capital • Startup Fundraising • Startup Taxonomy • Business Models • Go-to-Market Strategy • SaaS • Marketplaces • Venture Investing • Founder Advice • Startup Strategy

Timestamps

  • 00:00 – Cold open: The data problem behind bad taxonomy
  • 00:58 – Welcome to High Stakes: VC 101
  • 02:04 – Meet the deal team: Joseph & Jose
  • 05:09 – The 8 categories of startup taxonomy
  • 05:50 – Category 1: Industry
  • 06:52 – Verticals within industries + the “customer industry” mistake
  • 11:27 – Category 2: Customer type (B2B/B2C/B2G) & market characteristics
  • 12:26 – Dual-use, government contracting & defense tech
  • 14:37 – Category 3: Go-to-market strategy
  • 19:19 – Category 4: Business model & revenue model
  • 21:44 – Can a services business be venture-backable?
  • 26:19 – Category 5: Product type
  • 28:16 – Category 6: Technology (AI, quantum, space & robotics)
  • 32:01 – How K Street uses AI internally for deal data
  • 36:11 – What makes something a true “platform”?
  • 38:03 – Rapid fire: Hidden talents, biggest mistakes & best advice
  • 41:01 – Final thoughts

00:00

41:40

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06 August 2026

Go-to-Market Is the Moat | Paige Soya, Nick Duafala, and Mark Schacknies (NFTYDoor)

What actually creates a competitive moat?

For years, founders believed the answer was simple: build a better product.

Today, venture investors increasingly believe the answer is distribution.

In this episode of High Stakes, Paige Soya and Nick Duafala are joined by Mark Schacknies, CEO & Co-Founder of NFTYDoor—a company K Street backed in its earliest stages after recognizing the strength of its distribution strategy. NFTYDoor went on to become one of the country's leading white-label HELOC platforms, serving 500+ lenders, 36,000+ mortgage loan officers, and approaching $7B in annual run-rate volume before its successful exit.

Using NFTYDoor's journey as a case study, they explore why venture investors increasingly evaluate go-to-market execution alongside technical differentiation, how AI is reshaping startup defensibility, and what founders should focus on to build businesses competitors can't easily replicate.

In this episode:

  • What venture capitalists mean by a competitive moat
  • Why product-market fit comes before scalable distribution
  • How distribution becomes a durable competitive advantage
  • The role of network effects and switching costs
  • Why founders should understand—not avoid—the competition
  • How focus creates defensibility in crowded markets
  • Why customer discovery matters more than the perfect pitch
  • Practical advice for founders raising venture capital

Whether you're building a startup, evaluating investment opportunities, or interested in how venture capitalists think about competitive advantage, this episode provides actionable insights into building durable businesses in the AI era.

Topics: Venture Capital • Startup Fundraising • Competitive Moats • Startup Strategy • Product-Market Fit • Distribution Strategy • Network Effects • Switching Costs • Founder Advice • Go-to-Market Strategy • Startup Growth • Venture Investing

00:00

45:35

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23 July 2026

How VCs Structure Venture Deals | Paige Soya, Nick Duafala & Scott Stern (Partner, Origin Ventures)

Not all venture deals are created equal, and understanding the fine print can make a significant difference for founders.

In this episode of High Stakes, K Street Capital's Paige Soya and Nick Duafala are joined by Scott Stern, Partner at Origin Ventures, to break down how venture capital deals are actually structured. From SAFEs and convertible notes to priced equity rounds, founder vesting, liquidation preferences, pro rata rights, and anti-dilution provisions, they explain the terms that shape startup financings—and why they matter for both founders and investors.

Along the way, the conversation explores common fundraising mistakes, why complicated cap tables can derail future financing rounds, and how founders can approach term sheet negotiations with greater confidence. Rather than simply defining venture terminology, this episode explains the reasoning behind the structures investors use and how those decisions can influence a company's long-term success.

Whether you're raising your first round, investing in startups, or simply looking to better understand venture capital, this episode offers practical insights into one of the most important—and most misunderstood—aspects of startup fundraising.

In this episode:

  • The differences between SAFEs, convertible notes, and priced equity rounds
  • How valuation, dilution, and cap tables really work
  • Why founder vesting exists and what investors are protecting
  • Liquidation preferences, option pools, and anti-dilution explained
  • Pro rata rights and why investors negotiate for them
  • Common fundraising mistakes founders should avoid
  • How to approach your first venture capital term sheet with confidence

Guest:

Scott Stern, Partner at Origin Ventures

Hosts:

Paige Soya, Managing Partner, K Street Capital

Nick Duafala, Senior Principal, K Street Capital

00:00

52:07

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09 July 2026

How VCs Evaluate Pre-Revenue Startups | Paige Soya, Nick Duafala & Charles Hudson (Precursor Ventures)

What makes a pre-revenue startup worth investing in?

Before there's revenue, traction, or a long list of customers, venture investors have to make decisions with limited data. So what signals matter most? How do VCs build conviction around a founder and an idea when so much is still uncertain?

In this episode of High Stakes, Paige Soya and Nick Duafala sit down with Charles Hudson, Managing Partner at Precursor Ventures, to explore how investors evaluate startups at the earliest stages of venture.

Charles shares his framework for pre-seed investing, including how he assesses founder insight, market timing, perseverance, resourcefulness, and a founder's ability to turn an early hypothesis into a scalable company.

The conversation explores what separates exceptional founders from the rest—and why, at the pre-seed stage, investing is often as much about the founder as it is about the business.

In this episode, we discuss:

  • Why pre-revenue investing requires a different approach than later-stage venture investing
  • The two founder archetypes Charles sees most often: industry insiders and "naive outsiders"
  • How investors determine whether a founder has a unique and durable insight
  • Why proximity to a problem can be one of a founder's greatest advantages
  • The difference between product innovation and business model innovation
  • Why distribution strategy can matter just as much as the product itself
  • How VCs evaluate founders when there is little customer or revenue data
  • Why resourcefulness and perseverance are two of the strongest predictors of founder success
  • How market timing influences pre-seed investment decisions
  • Why being slightly late can sometimes be better than being too early
  • What Charles learned from founders who succeeded inside large companies but struggled as startup CEOs
  • How resilience and life experiences shape a founder's ability to navigate uncertainty

Key Takeaways

Great founders don't always have the most experience—they have the strongest insight.

At the pre-seed stage, investors look for evidence that founders understand a problem deeply and have uncovered insights that others have missed.

Resourcefulness is a leading indicator of startup success: Before founders have capital, customers, or large teams, investors can learn a great deal by observing how they create opportunities and solve problems with limited resources.

Timing can be just as important as the idea itself: Even great companies can struggle if the market isn't ready. Successful founders often launch when customer behavior, technology, and market conditions align.

At the earliest stages, investing is ultimately a bet on people: With limited financial or customer data, investors are evaluating a founder's ability to adapt, persevere, and execute through uncertainty.

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34:42